Light at the End of the Tunnel?

It is painful to open your investment report and see the losses for the first six months of the year. How bad were the first six months? The -19.96% return for the S&P 500 was the worst start to a year since 1970. The -10.35% return for the Aggregate Bond Index was the worst start…

Which Investment Recovers First – Stocks or Bonds?

Both stocks (represented by the S&P 500) and bonds (represented by the Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index [AGG]) have had horrendous returns so far this year. At the end of last week, the year-to-date losses for the S&P 500 and the AGG were (22.33%) and (11.48%), respectively. The reasons for the declines are: Inflation The…

Two Investments Get Shellacked

Investment results for the first quarter of 2022 were a disappointment, to say the least. The major averages declined substantially, but not disastrously: S&P 500 (large-cap) – 4.60% Russell 2000 (small-cap) – 5.13% EAFE (developed international) – 5.91% Two types of investments had returns that seem pretty terrible, though. Almost everyone owns a good portion…

Interest Rates Up, Stock Market Down?

Conventional wisdom (at least conventional wisdom practiced by CNBC and Bloomberg) holds that when the Federal Reserve begins a series of rate increases, the stock market suffers broad-based losses. The Fed has made it clear that it intends to start increasing rates soon to combat inflation. So, is the stock market doomed to have a…